Go West, young man (or East, or South…)

I’ve seen a discussion repeated several times online.

It goes like this:

Young Wimps: Boo hoo, we never get matches, not allowed to approach any more, can’t buy a house, everything sucks, wanna rope.

Old Farts: Why not go on an adventure? Start a banana farm in the Amazon or something. What have you got to lose?

YW: Boo hoo, we’ll get dengue fever, plus why should we? This is our home; honor, etc.

OF: But weren’t you just saying your future was hopeless and your life wasn’t worth living?

YW: We don’t have any money to travel anyway.

OF: Traveling with heaps of money isn’t an adventure.

YW: Well what about if we have a medical condition or family or something?

Etcetera.

Here are some examples, though I understand that you can’t click to read whole threads now unless you’re on X:

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Word from the Dark Side – slap of authority, do-gooder priority, a model minority and use water fountains orally

HPPD, the drug-induced disorder which can be brought on by psychedelic substances

…HPPD results in disturbed vision, where a sufferer may constantly see visual snow, haloes or trails.

Many also experience out-of-body sensations and extreme anxiety.

It’s triggered by the use of psychedelic drugs and has been described as the “trip that never ends”.

With the use of illegal drugs on the rise and the emergence of psychedelics in the treatment of mental health disorders, there are calls for greater awareness and more research into the condition.

Sheree said her son’s experience of HPPD was “a living hell”.

Joey developed HPPD after taking a psychedelic drug at the age of 17 when he was in his final year at school, affecting his vision.

“Where school was concerned words were starting the slide off the page so he couldn’t study, he couldn’t read, and reading was something that he was very good at,” she said.

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The best and worst retirement plans

A country’s retirement program was once like fjords or mild weather – a nice thing to have, but not a factor that would determine a nation’s position in the world like infrastructure or GDP.

With populations everywhere aging, this has changed. Those countries financially well-prepared for the coming decades are best positioned to prosper and to maintain their power and influence.

I got to thinking about this because I’m compiling the second edition of Poor Man’s Guide to Financial Freedom. I’ve been expanding the section on national retirement plans in the Anglophone countries.

Australia, New Zealand and Canada seem to have pretty good plans (compared to any others; perhaps not in absolute terms) while the USA and UK trail behind.

Further afield, the oldest country, Japan, and the least fertile, South Korea, both have about the worst retirement programs in the developed world. Even Chile does better.

The top ranked countries are the Netherlands, Denmark and Israel.

Because it will be so important in the future, here are my observations about what makes a good retirement plan in terms of adequacy and fairness.

Adequacy

A retirement program needs to be adequate both at a national level and for each individual. The keys to a sufficient and sustainable retirement program at the national level seem to be making it mandatory, a high retirement age, transparency and sound investment.

Mandatory plans

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Word from the Dark Side – songs getting dumb, a high school scrum, the no-panty bum and elephants to come

Song lyrics getting simpler, more repetitive, angry and self-obsessed – study

“Across all genres, lyrics had a tendency to become more simple and more repetitive,” Zangerle summarised.

The results also confirmed previous research which had shown a decrease in positive, joyful lyrics over time and a rise in those that express anger, disgust or sadness.

Lyrics have also become much more self-obsessed, with words such as “me” or “mine” becoming much more popular.

The number of repeated lines rose most in rap over the decades, Zangerle said – adding that it obviously had the most lines to begin with.

“Rap music has become more angry than the other genres,” she added.

The researchers also investigated which songs the fans of different genres looked up on the lyric website Genius.

Unlike other genres, rock fans most often looked up lyrics from older songs, rather than new ones.

Previous research has also suggested that people tend to listen to music more in the background these days, she added.

Put simply, songs with more choruses that repeat basic lyrics appear to be more popular.

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Word from the Dark Side – ten years sober, starlets are over, sperm whale odor and a race promoter

Ten Years of Sobriety

…I did it the same as everyone. AA meetings. Talk to alcoholics. Work the steps. This always works. No one who does this has not stayed sober. Almost everyone who does not do this does not stay sober.

They don’t want to. I don’t blame them. It’s amazing to drink. You can talk to women. I was at a reading. My reading, my name was on the flyer in big font. I looked good, I had a quality haircut, I wore a cool leather jacket someone with taste helped me pick. I can’t have sex. I don’t want to have sex outside a relationship. No stakes to my conversations with women. But I was nervous talking to women. I need to impress them. Afraid they’ll reject me from pussy I don’t want. Or if they respect me they’ll stop. I could solve this easily. With one drink of alcohol. Steroids for liking people. Feeling like people like you.

What you learn in sobriety is to eat that bad feeling and get through it. Just let it pass by.

Keep doing this. One day you can just handle it.

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What gets measured, gets mismanaged

If you’re pursuing any goal, quantifying it and measuring regularly is a good way to get there in incremental steps, whether it’s paying off debt, getting in shape or mastering a subject.

Statistics have also helped public policy in innumerable ways. One of the earliest was tracking outbreaks of disease in Victorian London to identify the cause. Others include determining the efficacy of medical treatments, supplying armies and setting interest rates.

However, this focus on measurement can also lead us down the garden path.

What gets measured, gets overmanaged

If we have figures on any issue that people care about, that will naturally make us more inclined to care about that thing, especially if those figures are prominently published and widely discussed.

This can be a good thing. The nightly news death tallies of modern wars put a cap on developed countries’ participation in distant conflicts. The road toll reminds us not to drive drunk. High unemployment figures put pressure on governments to Do Something.

However, any such statistics need context. The daily Covid infection and death numbers caused a lot of panic that would have eased had people known that most of the infections don’t matter, and that most of the deaths were among those already unwell.

A number only means something once you compare it to other numbers. To hear that a man is six foot tall means nothing if you don’t know how tall any other man is.

Further, improved data collection has reduced many policy debates to ‘which approach would cause more deaths,’ as though the only purpose of public policy is to maximize years of life.

Another example of statistics leading us astray is standardized tests in schools. These are potentially useful numbers, but in many countries they are obsessed over at the expense of things like extracurricular activities, sport and even recess. ‘One number to rule them all.’

On the other hand, I reject the common assertion that GDP is overused as a measure of a country’s progress. It’s not perfect but it is pretty good, and I think overall GDP is used about the right amount, and is considered in light of other important measures.

What gets managed, gets mismeasured

Once any statistic becomes politically significant, there is an incentive for people to massage those numbers.

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Against immortality

Tech enthusiasts are getting enthusiastic again. A common refrain among this online faction is ‘Don’t die.’ While generally good advice, in this context it means that AI development is getting us close to the technological singularity. This, in turn, will inexorably lead to radical life extension, unless the bots kill us first.

I don’t personally take this very seriously as it breaks the universe’s most fundamental law: Nothing Ever Happens. However, the idea does raise interesting philosophical questions.

If we could all live to, say, 300+ years old, would that be a good thing?

I reckon no.

An aging society

Such radical life extension would likely cause a further drop in fertility rates, for instinctive reasons we don’t understand well. Rather than dramatically increase the population, it’s more likely that the world would plateau and become much older, on average.

What would that be like?

Stagnant.

Source: Japan.

Look, I’m fairly old. My audience is generally older. Let’s be honest: innovation mostly comes from the young. They have the energy, the ready-for-anything attitude, the chip on their shoulder. They’re the ones who have something to prove.

We older chaps just want a little comfort in the second half of our lives. Our conversations are mostly about real estate prices and blood pressure.

The old naturally conserve that which is safe and familiar. Senior scientists defend their early work, blocking progress. Politicians hold on to power for decades longer than is wise. Companies are dominated by relics who make teeth-sucking sounds whenever a young whipper-snapper suggests a bold move.

You have all seen this to some extent. I have seen it to a greater extent. If life extension is achieved, we will see it to a ridiculous extent.

No country for young men

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Word from the Dark Side – Waiting For, guards hardcore, mothers’ war and what’s Portugal for?

30 Kentucky prison guards had sex with inmates over just 16 months — while 14 others smuggled drugs in: report

At least 30 Kentucky prison guards had inappropriate relations with inmates in just 16 months — with one female staffer becoming pregnant by a prisoner — while another 14 smuggled in drugs, according to a report.

After a protracted battle with state officials over records access, the Herald-Leader newspaper obtained a trove of internal reports that offered a rare glimpse into official misconduct behind prison walls.

The documents pertained to cases that arose over 16 months, ending in November 2023.

In one incident, Trista Fox, 39, was charged with third-degree rape in December 2022 after fellow guards walked in on her having sex with a Kentucky State Penitentiary inmate in Lyon County.

Another female guard who resigned after being confronted about her relationship with an inmate told investigators that she was vulnerable to her jailed pursuer’s romantic advances.

“He just caught me at the wrong time one day. I mean, I don’t know what else you want me to say,” she said, according to the Herald-Leader.

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She’ll be right

2024 (artist’s impression)

An ongoing theme at this blog is that The Current Year is not uniquely bad, we are not on the brink of a catastrophe like the Bronze Age Collapse, and that the sorts of problems we’re having now are echoes of the sorts of problems we’ve always had.

The madness, corruption and stupidity align with an ancient pattern.

Same shit, different bucket.

But you won’t believe me. You’re so caught up in your end of days larp that you won’t admit the present is about the same as the past, nor that the near future will also be similar.

You think we’re coming off a golden age of Western Civilization, and that everything has gone to pot.

The only difference of opinion among my readers is exactly when it all went wrong. Was it 2013, 1969, 1914 or 1517?

How am I to convince you that things were always rubbish, that there were always scandals, that there was much to bemoan about the state of the world at any given point in history?

I won’t convince you, of course. However, I reckon the following ought to give pause to a rational actor who’s coming at this issue free of bias and too-online brain worms:

“Copilot, please generate two numbers between 1,910 to 2,010. Please also generate one random number from 0 to 1,900.”

“Sure, I can generate some random numbers for you. Here they are:

– Two numbers between 1,910 to 2,010: 1,973 and 2,007

– One number from 0 to 1,900: 1,234”

Right, effers. Let’s take these as years and have a look at what was going down. Depending on when your ‘we’ll all be rooned’ date is, 1-3 of them ought to be wonderful times of virtuous government, homecooked meals and haircuts you could set your watch to, right?

2007

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Word from the Dark Side – Walnut Tree, drinking spree, it tolls for thee and gibberish glee

Dancing Under the Walnut Tree, performed by Kayhan Kalhor and Ali Bahrami Far, 2012

‘Risky levels’: Australia is the drunkest country in the world, survey finds

The international survey found Australians drank to the point of drunkenness an average of 27 times a year, almost double the global average of 15. Almost a quarter of Australians reported feeling regret for becoming intoxicated…

The Foundation for Alcohol Research and Education chief executive, Caterina Giorgi, said the statistics were “concerning”, and that a clear picture of the impact of harmful alcohol use during the pandemic was only just emerging.

“Australia tops the world in both the number of times people report getting drunk and in seeking emergency medical treatment for alcohol … Both of those indicators suggest people are drinking at fairly risky levels,” she said.

“We’ve seen a steep increase, which has sustained for calls for help to drug and alcohol hotlines, and increased alcohol involvement with family violence callouts.

“There’s an emerging picture [that] there is a significant proportion of people who are drinking at riskier levels … to cope with stress and anxiety. Those habits are hard to undo as we continue to live in this Covid environment.”

Giorgi said there had been a $3.3bn increase in alcohol sales into people’s homes in 2020 – a trend continuing in 2021.

“In such an uncertain time, there’s been a sustained change in the way alcohol is sold. Companies have been aggressively marketing, and using Covid and preying on anxieties to sell their products,” she said.

“We have this perfect storm for an increase in alcohol harm and we’re only just starting to see that.”

A joint Turning Point and Monash University study found ambulance attendances for alcohol-related harm increased by 9% in Victoria last year, at the same time the state was under Covid restrictions…

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Word from the Dark Side – Moby Go, writers brought low, a brand new show and yakuza vs ninja to-and-fro

Go by Moby, 1991

There’s a magazine called The Cut that no one had ever heard of until suddenly this week when two of its articles went viral.

First:

The Lure of Divorce

I’ve used up my free articles so I can’t quote any sections. It’s what you’d think but 10x more so.

The next one is by their financial advice columnist:

The Day I Put $50,000 in a Shoe Box and Handed It to a Stranger: I never thought I was the kind of person to fall for a scam.

“My colleague will be there soon. He is an undercover CIA agent, and he will secure the money for you,” he said. What exactly would that entail? I asked. “Tonight, we will close down your Social Security number, and you will lose access to your bank accounts,” he explained. “Tomorrow, you’ll need to go to the Social Security office and get a new Social Security number. We’ll secure this money for you in a government locker and hand-deliver a Treasury check for the same amount. You can cash the check and use it for your expenses until the investigation is over.”

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Word from the Dark Side – Kenji Kawai, Miss Japan’s lie, a crocodile cries and ears talk to eyes

Kentucky Headhunter’s post reminded me of this song.

Award-winning author’s AI use revelation roils Japan’s literary world

The commotion surrounding Kudan’s novel comes after she said at a press conference upon claiming the prize that “around 5 percent of the book’s text was taken directly from generative AI.”

Shuichi Yoshida, a novelist who sits on the prize’s selection panel, said that AI hardly came up in discussions during the evaluation process, adding that “it may have been perceived as just another character in the story.”

But Kudan’s comments about using AI have stirred debate, with arguments coming from both sides on social media. 

Edited machine translation follows:

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It’s called we do a little losing

A scene from the city where humanity’s future is being built. HT

It is testament to the strength of the United States that the outcomes of its wars don’t affect it very much.

In the Korean War, having repelled the initial attack, the US and its allies attempted to push north all the way to the frontier with China. This drew in Chinese forces and led to a bloodbath, then a stalemate which persists to this day.

Most Americans are probably not even aware of this chapter of history, and its policy makers rarely consider it.

It mattered to the people there, of course, and to Korea and China, but to the United States it meant nothing.

People often talk about the blow to American prestige from the Vietnam War.

What blow?

Did Mexico smell blood and reconquista California? Did restive Texans take advantage of the chaos to declare independence?

Victories also make little difference. What practical benefit did Desert Storm bring to America? Had they negotiated an Iraqi withdrawal from Kuwait by making a few token concessions, how would that have changed things for the nation as a whole?

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Word from the Dark Side – the group Heilung, Oz housing’s dung, crims get sprung and a beauty that stung

There’s an extreme housing shortage in Australia:

Australia’s rental vacancy falls to record low as Sydney and Melbourne feel squeeze

The national rental vacancy rate has hit a new record low, with new data showing rental conditions worsening in Sydney and Melbourne.

Australia’s vacancy rate hit a new low in October, falling 0.06 percentage points to 1.02% over the month, according to the latest PropTrack Market Insight Report.

That’s a new record from the 1.10% recorded in September, and well below 3%, which is seen as a healthy vacancy rate . . .

Low supply and strong demand have created skyrocketing rents, with the national median on realestate.com.au for the last quarter sitting at $550, up 14.6% from the year before.

“The national vacancy rate has been trending down for well over three years now – a trend that looks likely to continue off the back of strong population growth and a slowdown in the supply of new housing.”

Via Bing, here is an international comparison:

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Is vs Ought

I know a guy who left Australia permanently and refused to repay his student loans to the tax office.

I told him, “They’ll catch up with you eventually. It’s the government. The taxman always gets his pound of flesh.”

He said, with much fruitier language than is here represented, “Bugger ‘em! Those bastard boomer pollies all got free education in the seventies then they took it away from us as soon as they were in charge. Amanda Vanstone didn’t pay a cent! If they didn’t have to pay, I don’t have to pay! [Extended string of bad words].”

This is confusing an ‘is’ with an ‘ought’.

Let’s say for the sake of argument that paying for uni really is a grievous injustice. I don’t think that it is, within reason, but go with me here.

Let us also assume that refusing to pay will not right the wrong, because the government will indeed catch up with you. They did, as it happened.

What is the purpose of not paying?

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Word from the Dark Side – Don’t Leave Me This Way, dunno they say, dating dismay and revenge disarray

Don’t Leave Me This Way by Thelma Houston, 1976. Don’t be alarmed; I’m just going through a stage.

German health authorities plead to parliamentary committee that they have yet to evaluate adverse vaccine events because there are too many of them

The major German political parties will never investigate the pandemic response, because they are all complicit in it. Across the entire political landscape of the Federal Republic, the right-populist Alternative für Deutschland stands alone in its critical stance towards lockdowns and mass vaccination, and only in the state parliament of Brandenburg do they have sufficient seats to gather an investigatory committee on the transgressions of the Corona era. On Friday, 1 September, the AfD-convened Brandenburg Corona Committee summoned Robert Koch-Institut Chief Lothar Wieler (the German counterpart to Anthony Fauci) and Brigitte Keller-Stanislawski, head of the Department of Pharmaceutical Safety and Diagnostics at the Paul-Ehrlich-Institut. They were questioned for six hours on the Covid vaccines.

Journalists who eagerly reported Wieler’s every utterance during the Covid pandemic almost totally ignored his committee testimony. Among the few exceptions is Larissa Fußer, who has provided extensive reporting at Apollo News. The picture she paints is incredible: Neither the RKI, Germany’s public health authority, nor the PEI, our pharmaceuticals regulator, have taken even the most basic steps to evaluate the frequency or nature of vaccine injuries, or even the effectiveness of the vaccines in general. Technical problems, staff shortages, and the sheer extent of the data, has prevented them from fulfilling their most basic duties…

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The perils of FIRE

For a long time, I’ve been following the blog of a lady aiming at FIRE – financial independence, retire early. A few years ago she reached her goal, quit her job, and she and her ‘partner’ (no kids) now wander the world doing whatever they want on about $23k per year.

Her blog used to be quite engaging, with various discussions on personal finance issues that I found interesting. Once she retired, it became this:

We lived here. We ate this. I read these (romance/gay/race hustling) books. I played these computer games and here are my reviews and tips. I overspent my budget by 0.5%. This is how my investments are performing. I got my nails done. I did some paperwork for a visa. Here’s my sleep graph. Here’s a list of animals I saw. This is my emotions report.

I always knew she was like that but looking at it now, it’s clear she’s also autistic. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.

I object to these posts on a narrative level. If her story had ended upon reaching her FIRE amount, disappearing into the sunset with her ‘partner’ as stringed instruments soar, fine. To see the story continue after achieving her goal is like a romantic comedy where the last half hour is the couple fifteen years later, having a tedious argument about the toothpaste cap.

The story was meant to end there, or move on to some new narrative (challenge or problem facing the protagonist). To just read nonsense books, play stupid games, then post boring blog posts about that stupid nonsense is like a mini-death. A person without a narrative is spiritually dead.

You might say, just stop reading the blog if it bothers you so much. Dear reader, I unfollowed years ago. However, I keep creeping back to it, like a dog to its vomit. I can’t look away. Every six months or so something reminds me of her, I go see how she’s doing, and absolutely nothing has changed.

It would be easier for her to completely revamp her entire lifestyle than for me to stop checking her blog, so that is what ought to happen.

I also once reported on a man who achieved FIRE and spent most of his time reading, but after a few years his wife got bored and suggested they start working again. He said you can if you want but I’m good. She said she’d feel uncomfortable working while he’s sitting at home doing nothing.

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Word from the Dark Side – Love Hangover, wokeularity closer, AI composers and stones for rovers

Love Hangover by Diana Ross, 1976. Is it hot in here?

It’s 2024, a year which before too long will fade into the past like all the rest. “Remember 2024?” we’ll ask each other. “Those were the days. Different world back then. A more innocent time.”

Book event disinvites queer author because his disability aid makes others “uncomfortable”

Queer, autistic, erotic sci-fi author Chuck Tingle accepted an invitation from the Texas Library Association (TLA) to speak at its annual conference this April. However, the TLA recently rescinded their invitation because the group refused to let Tingle speak while wearing his trademark mask — a pink, pillowcase-like hood that covers most of his face. The TLA told his publisher that they worried that his mask might make attendees feel uncomfortable.

Tingle — who has become famous for writing short fiction with such titles as Space Raptor Butt Invasion and Unicorn Colonel Haunts My Ass — wrote a public post about the TLA’s actions, explaining that his mask is a disability aid to ease his autistic and chronic pain symptoms. After his post gained social media attention, the TLA re-invited him. However, Tingle has publicly refused their re-invitation, citing worries that the conference may not accommodate his other disability needs.

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Everything you know is wrong

I recently passed my 20th anniversary of not going to a dentist. The last time I went it was because I thought I should get a checkup before an extended trip to India. The dentist gave me all sorts of caps and cleaning and x-rays and whatnot, and said I have to get a wisdom tooth out.

I ran out of time to get it done before the flight, kept forgetting about it once I got back, and the errant tooth is still there today. Twenty years and no major problems. I got a painful inflammation in Africa so I borrowed my colleague’s drugs she had leftover from after her dental surgery. My gums got better straight away and I felt gooooood. Should have got the name of that stuff.

I’ve always attributed my total lack of toothaches and other dental ailments to my diligent oral hygiene habits. Realistically, it’s probably just genetics and luck.

I’d always been told to brush my teeth right after eating. When I was a kid, our dentist even informed us that there was no point brushing 20+ minutes after a meal because by then the saliva would have done its job anyway. It was especially important to brush immediately after eating something sweet.

Now it seems that’s all wrong. Apparently acidic food weakens your tooth enamel and brushing right after eating can damage it. You’re supposed to wait 60 minutes, or at least 30.

Until they change it again.

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