Oxford University releases online calculator for figuring out your chances of dying or being hospitalized from Covid, based on UK stats.
I tried entering the details of a 100-year-old man in a nursing home with multiple conditions including coronary heart disease, dementia, an organ transplant and Down’s syndrome. Threw in some chemotherapy. The poor fellah came up with almost a 100% chance of being infected and dying over a 90-day period similar to the UK’s last peak.
Next I tried a 90-year-old man in a nursing home with type-2 diabetes and arthritis. 1 in 58 chance of being infected and dying, 1 in 50 chance of being hospitalized.
A healthy, independent 80-year-old man: 1 in 696 chance of being infected and dying.
Send this to your bedwetting friends and watch it do no good at all.
Beware! Several people have reported being suspended from Facebook for sharing my posts, even innocent book reviews. Like they told you in high school, such infractions will go on your Permanent Record.
In Olympic news, a losing French boxer throws an hour-long tantrum. This must be the Eternal Anglo in me but I love when the French throw tantrums.
When Simole Biles freaked and quit, her brother was on trial for a triple murder. He got off. In the comments we learn her sister is also in jail for not-capable-of-living-in-the-modern-world offenses.
While we’re on the topic of female athletes of colour quitting, how could I have so easily forgotten the precursor to them all from Sydney 2000? Reading that 20-year-old article is like a glimpse into our dystopian present, but we didn’t know it at the time because we were too busy cheering on Cathy.
I found this blast from the past but it will probably mean little to foreigners:
White people have the lowest life expectancy of any ethnic group in England and Wales. Commenters cry discrimination and that may be part of it, but on the other hand I’ve seen what Poms eat. Anyway, we should leave wingeing for others and focus on fixing our own problems.
A local’s take on Covid in India. Western MSM painted a disaster while alt sources suggested The Drug That Must Not Be Named was turning things around. This account, however, paints a picture of corruption and incompetence on all levels. Sounds like nothing’s changed since I was there. I can’t summarize; best to read the whole thing.
Did the overall life expectancy suddenly drop in 2020 for Americans? Nope:
To get the full year drop in life expectancy, the CDC applied an assumption that the increased death rates of 2020 from Covid would continue to apply throughout the lifetimes of everyone born during 2020, as opposed to the increased death rates going away after the pandemic passed or a vaccine became available.
But don’t visit Russia – the US State Dept. says it’s too dangerous:
The official reason is that American tourists could be victims of terrorist attacks or “harassment by Russian government security officials.” That’s hard to swallow. This warning is the latest blow in a campaign to discourage Americans from learning about life in other countries.
I’ve been following South African developments on social media as the MSM is mostly ignoring it. Tl;dr: Former President Zuma imprisoned, his Zulu tribesmen orchestrate looting and destruction to pressure for his release. Plus opportunistic hangers-on, no doubt.
Zuma supported traditional leaders, dispossession of minorities and he stole a lot of money. New President Cyril is sidelining traditional leaders, centralizing power in a more Communist government, dispossessing minorities and stealing even more money.
This power struggle is further fueled by lockdown-invoked poverty.
It’s mostly an internal black squabble but Indians seem to be the main victims at this time, mostly due to proximity as there are plenty of them in Zulu areas.
The Philippines is the most dangerous country on Earth? Doubt. You have to be careful but I’m certain Ethiopia is much riskier for the average person, especially at the moment. In fact, there are dozens of countries in the full report that look more dangerous to me: Nigeria, Yemen, South Africa, Pakistan, Haiti, etc. etc. Even India. I think they went overboard on the Covidian nonsense.
In Dong Jingwei news, no new news. I wonder what all that was about. Oh well, entertaining while it lasted.
As for the photo of him and how it’s just about impossible to prove or disprove that it’s fake, here’s a relevant story about a DeepFake of Tom Cruise that tricked everyone. Apparently there are still some ‘tells’ that experts can detect but we’re at that stage now where technology can just about produce a perfect fake.
Watch for Joe Biden speeches to suddenly become much more coherent.
– Learn skills, and understand that learning never stops.
There are more suggestions in the article and comments. As for money, I’ll stick with what I’ve said before. Things rich people invest in will be the last to collapse.
My additional piece of advice to a young person would be: spend a couple of years living and working in a Third World country. The things you’ll learn about thriving in a low-trust society will be perfect for surviving the decline of the West.
The conservative Sydney Anglicans will encourage ministers to call gender diverse parishioners by their preferred names, provide unisex bathrooms and avoid gendered language such as “ladies and gentlemen”.
The Auckland chapter of New Zealand’s School Strike 4 Climate group decides it is too racist to exist and disbands.
I had a request to explain the 80s for the kids via another video clip. This one is as good as any but I can’t be bothered pulling it apart scene by scene. I think you’ll get it. Drink every time something politically incorrect happens.
We no longer fight for our right to paaartay, do we?
All parties are banned across the Philippines until further notice. The rule is not being consistently enforced. After fifteen months, there has yet to be any public health campaign warning people not to share the same cup of rum as traditionally happens at these parties.
They always attempt the hard or impossible but ignore the easy things. ‘Give grandpa his own cup.’ Much as I’d like to chalk this up as yet another piece of Third World incompetence and stupidity, rich countries are doing little better.
What’s Fauci been up to? Remember, (a) no one is too big to be cancelled and (b) getting enemies cancelled is a fool’s game because there are millions more overeducated twits languishing in casual work desperate to take their places.
Last week I reported that 8.5% of survey respondents thought they could beat a gorilla in a fight. It seems there is a word for this tendency for ridiculous answers: the Lizardman Constant. Scott puts it at around 4% but I reckon it depends on the demographic and the question. Ask about fighting animals, for example, and you’ll elicit whacky responses from people who just want to see the world burn.
If you had an actual gorilla and invited the audience to throw their hats in the ring, I reckon you’d get less than 8.5% willing to have a shot.
An indigenous academic apologizes for calling a report into African crime ‘racist’ after being informed the author is African. Specifically he’s creole from Mauritius while those getting into trouble are mostly from South Sudan but I doubt she can grasp the significance.
Australia is not ready to discuss this sort of issue without a passably dark-skin person leading the way.
In other African vs Aborigine news, an Australian women’s basketball player threatens to boycott the Olympics because of the lack of diversity in promotional shoots. She is half Nigerian.
ABC4 News investigative reporter Jason Nguyen went to the man’s home “to get his side of things, but those inside the home didn’t want to talk.” No, you went to his home to do an ambush interview because of your political orientation and you wanted to shame him over $10, when he did nothing wrong. I will not be repeating the man’s name, because it’s disgusting that they ever published it.
The network then harassed the man’s employer for comment on the evil, $10 donation. His employers at the West Valley City Fire Department confirmed the man was an employee and said they would be “conducting an investigation into this matter” but the action was his personal action “not [that] of West Valley City.”