The growing need for antifragility

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I recently suggested that the best solution to the West’s Cold Civil War is for both sides to walk away – to find a place where things are as you prefer and to actively keep them that way.

As often happens, dissenting comments added to my thinking rather than changing my mind altogether. Here’s Gunner Q:

Antifragility is the winning option. People who look for exits, for Benedict Options, etc. are looking for certainty. Safety. That’s natural but it isn’t available today. Instead, make friends, learn skills and keep your options open to see what comes along. Invest in yourself more than your circumstances.

I still think there’s a place for walking away. A conservative person living in central Portland or Baltimore is not going to enjoy the next decade, and if he resists the Borg he may lose his life or his freedom.

However, not everyone can walk away, or walk as far away as he’d like.

Antifragility is another tool in the thought criminal’s belt. Like exit, it is not a viable option for everyone straight away, but it will help most people to start thinking about it – especially as a long-term goal.

I recently read an excellent blog post about how to be anti-fragile but now I can’t find it anywhere. I might have even linked to it in Word from the Dark Side. Anyone?

This year has taught us a lot about how to be anti-fragile:

Small target

Until you have shored up the measures listed below, staying under the radar is not a terrible idea. Don’t name-phag or face-phag until you and your family are ready, if at all. Keep a low profile.

If you’re politically incorrect on social media, ensure your handle is different to anything you use with normies. Avoid posting sensitive information i.e. exactly where you are or what school you went to.

Throw doxxers off the scent by liking or following i.e. news in a city you don’t live in, a school you didn’t go to or a hobby you don’t like.

Do not click on links via email, especially Google Docs as the users can see everybody who’s viewed it.

Use a VPN.

You want to know why? Here are some place names. Perhaps one of them might ring a bell:

Red****. Sal****. Au****. Bo***. Rich******. Lei***.

Six of my readers just smelled the coffee.

I can seeeee youuuuuu! Lucky it’s just me.

Use a VPN.

Health and fitness

You are no use to anybody if you can’t even look after yourself.

Now is not the time for gym preening and getting your body fat down to 8%. Right now we need to be ready for anything. Compound lifts, cardio, flexibility. Eat properly. Plenty of fresh air and sunshine if you’re allowed.

Don’t forget mental health. In addition to yoga/meditation or whatever keeps you focused, change your mindset. Begin to accept that the future may not be as bright as the past.

If you get doxxed, cancelled, fired, attacked, hounded, harassed, disowned or dismembered, your physical and mental health will be of more use than everything else that follows.

https://i.pinimg.com/736x/ed/ec/5a/edec5ab21bb538c4b73ba77c3c4c7e7d.jpg
‘Tis but a scratch!
Family and friends

There’s too much rugged individual thinking when it comes to antifragility. No man is an island and no one can stand alone regardless of your automatic shotgun, your property’s water source and your six-year supply of Spam.

Whether it’s giving you a place to stay, biding you over with cash, mailing documents for you (I’ve needed this) or giving moral support, your close friends and family are the only people truly on your side. They are your greatest asset.

Your family is your family and there’s not much you can do about it. Friends, on the other hand, can be cultivated.

Consider the people in your inner circle: who do you know would have your back in an emergency? The best indicator is those who’ve previously had your back because past behaviour is the most reliable predictor of future behaviour.

It could be you don’t really know.

If you think someone is well and truly on your side, make sure you’re also on his side. Be quick and generous in helping out your people however you can. They’re all you’ve got.

As for those friends and family who you think might be a bit iffy in a SHTF situation – for political or personal reasons – file that away in the back of your mind.

Acquaintances

You need to have connections. This is where your neighbours, casual friends and online world can help. Be prepared to help out others and you’ll find that people you don’t know very well can be invaluable for information, tips, links or other support.

Money

There are several aspects to financial antifragility that you need to consider:

Income

If like me your career is in a dangerously Woke field, it would be a good idea to start working towards a side project, additional skills, your own business and/or financial independence. This goal will probably take a long time.

Perhaps like Roosh you can start working construction.

Emergency fund

Otherwise known as your FU fund, in my book I recommend having enough cash on hand for three months living expenses if you’re still paying off non-mortgage debt and six to twelve months’ worth for everyone else.

Just prior to Covid that seemed pretty risk-averse, but it looks perfectly reasonable now, hey? Plenty of people have been without an income for getting on to a year. Jesus, look at me: I’ve been stuck on an island since March.

In the second edition of the Poor Man’s Guide I think I’ll set a minimum emergency fund of 12 months and recommend working towards an additional 24 months’ worth of bonds. Things are getting crazier out there.

Banking

If you’re a controversial figure you might find that your bank account gets frozen without explanation, your card doesn’t work and PayPal/Patreon/Amazon etc. no longer permit your business.

Always keep this in mind if you have a high profile. Stay agile and work across various banks (in different countries), providers and platforms.

Flexibility and fail-safe measures

In that second edition I’ll also include some handy hints I learned from being stuck overseas for an extended period of time:

Have more than one bank card and always have some cash on hand, preferably in two different currencies. I will write more about this in an upcoming post, ‘Pirate finance’.

Sovereign Man offers a free, much more detailed guide on how to be financially antifragile.

Passport and residency

Make sure your passport has plenty of pages left and check the expiry date. Renew it with heaps of time to spare.

I know a girl whose passport expired while she was in Eritrea due to various twists of fate. She was stuck because there was nowhere to put the exit visa. Long story short, she only managed to escape because (a) she had close friends high up in the embassy who could bend some rules and (b) a local official also slightly bent a rule to stop her getting stranded there forever.

If you can get dual citizenship, I am deeply jealous. Get it. If only I had a Greek Nona like everyone else.

You might also look into getting permanent residency in another country.

Summary

Few people can do all of these things. Everyone can do some of them. Start going through the list to figure out how to survive and thrive in a turbulent period.

For me, being able to walk away from a hopeless situation is a form of antifragility, not an alternative. These other forms are also important. They can allow you to ‘walk away’ financially and psychologically.

The more of these measures you can pull off, the more secure you will be – whatever the future holds.


Related: Nagging Noah

The short version is simply this – the United States and the west are slowly decaying to the point they will not longer be able to function as nations.  And I’m not talking so much about communism or socialism (though there certainly is a real and increasing chance of that).  I’m talking about Idiocracy where the current and future generations of Americans are so ill-reared, so ill-prepared they will not be able to function as normal, healthy, mature adults. 

And so if you’re like me, not only are you now chartered with the task of supporting yourself and your family, you are now also tasked with coming up with a “Plan B” to escape this nightmare that is coming.


Also available on many other platforms.

Also available on many other platforms.

12 comments

  1. philebersole · November 1

    Have you heard of Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his book, ANTIFRAGILE?

    https://philebersole.wordpress.com/2013/03/23/the-necessity-for-error-stress-and-risk/

    It doesn’t contradict, but expands on, what you were writing.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. SFC Ton · November 1

    While learning to be extra special one of my instructors dropped this bit of wisdom
    Always have a spare passport, 10k cash and a 1911 in safety deposit box under someone’s else’s name.
    This guy was a living legend and his plan was to hall ass.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. dickycone · November 1

    Great post, once again. I’m getting close to saving up a six month emergency fund at the moment, which is no small feat with little kids and a wife who’s a stay-at-home mom. I wish it were a year to two years as you say, but I can’t see that happening until I get my house paid off, which is still a few years down the road.

    I was going to ask your advice about having savings in USD because, although I’m no expert, I see USD as a currency with a great chance of collapsing in the next decade or so if 1) something finally happens to change its status as the world reserve currency or 2) because of the several trillions recently created out thin air and 3) the likely several trillions more to be created soon for “reparations” and other nonsense and 4) probably other reasons I’m not aware of. You mentioned having your savings in at least two currencies, so I guess that’s your answer. Any specific advice on which would be a good second currency? I have this impression that Swiss Francs might be a good option, but I’m not sure.

    Liked by 2 people

    • luisman · November 1

      I consider a two year emergency fund a minimum. Not to diss anyone who can’t do it right now, but you will very likely run into problems if you don’t have that. If you have issues with what currencies you should hold, consider paper gold (many banks offer that) or buy a gold coin every month/year, or even a gold necklace in a country that doesn’t charge much for fabrication. On every return trip from Thailand I look a bit like Mr. T 🙂 (under my shirt).

      Liked by 2 people

    • Nikolai Vladivostok · November 2

      I meant having two currencies for travelling.
      No idea what will happen with inflation. If you’re worried, keep a bit of your emergency fund in another currency, precious metal and/or crypto. Make sure it’s easy to access at all times.

      Like

  4. luisman · November 1

    Reblogged this on Nicht-Linke Blogs.

    Like

  5. Kentucky Gent · November 2

    A VPN, you say? Hmmm… interesting idea.

    Liked by 1 person

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