I’ve been reading over my old posts. There’s the pregnancy scare one, where I promised God I’d never whinge again if only the test was negative. There were all the Africa ones, where I pledged never to whine about anything ever again after that experience. This is wisdom.
I’m now up to six cancelled flights. It’s not the end of the world. Now that I’m resigned to being stuck here against my will, I’m better able to accept it and plan what to do next. I’ve got some projects to work on, beers to drink, and beaches to visit. They’re open now. I hope to be home by Christmas, but if not, I will instead enjoy one more Christmas here in Surabaya.
Vladivostok is currently under a 6-week, Stage 4 lockdown. No one’s allowed out except for food, and there’s a 6am-10pm curfew. Still, those who’ve tested positive and been ordered to stay home at all times are still found to be out and about around 12% of the time when checked on by the KGB, down from 25% last week owing to increased penalties. I have a pretty good idea who’s doing the sneaking but will not say it here out of deference to WordPress sensibilities.
There’s no point having any sort of lockdown if a large minority are being so utterly irresponsible. At that point, you might as well give up. But that would mean admitting that the policy was wrong to start with and that the economic devastation was all in vain, so there will be no change.
These girls threw a party in Melbourne then snuck back into Queensland via Sydney without quarantining, and went on to visit many places and partied further until they finally tested positive. Here is they:
Don’t be complacent, young people! Coronavirus can cause lifelong damage to your lips. Of course, the outrage against them is purely racism. This second link, not the first, shows the point ‘when the English began to hate‘.
Remember when we were trying to flatten the curve, accepting that the virus would inevitably surge through the population no matter what? No? Well, we all forgot about the Soleimani and Epstein assassinations, too. Seems like a million years ago.
At least we’re finally learning some lessons to keep the death rate down, like not allowing infected residents to return to nursing homes. Except for in Tamarac, Florida. And Melbourne, Australia. Oh well, I’m sure people cleverer than me have got it under control.
I’m not sure about very much. I’ve written whole posts about how we should hold our opinions lightly and be prepared to change our minds. However, I am now close to certain of this: long, tight lockdowns will be counterproductive in the long run. This is much more obvious that the efficacy or otherwise of face masks and that Trump drug, given the mixed evidence on those. As for the lockdowns, I feel like I’m trapped on a planet full of crazy people. Hence I was pleased to see the Streetwise Professor express the same view I did last week, that all this is hysteria.
Related: the Politically Incorrect Australian wonders how malleable our beliefs are. Society jumps from one extreme to another, with little space in between:
Immigration was very unpopular a few decades ago. Today it has sufficient support that immigration restrictionism has become a non-viable political position.
Political positions that were considered to be open to some debate, such as climate change, are no longer open to question. Among the young climate change is absolutely unquestioned.
But to what extent have beliefs really changed? Are people simply conforming to these dominant ideologies because they’re too scared to disagree? Or because it’s easier and more socially advantageous to conform outwardly? Have people’s core beliefs actually changed?
Sir, it disappoints me that I need a Gmail account to comment there. What I would have said was, I reckon most people accept the facts and views given to them, though they think their opinions are their own. Only a minority of any society will be ‘thought leaders’ or ‘movers and shakers’, because most people are ‘thought followers’ and are moved and shaken.
If you look at polls on any issue, like the BLM one below, you need to realize that it is just a snapshot. If a determined group tried hard enough to shift those views, they would shift. That is what has happened throughout history. The sheep will wander in one direction, but the sheepdogs can rapidly shift them to another. Most politics, including the culture wars, are a fight between a small number of rival sheepdogs.
I’m normally quiet in meetings to make up for those who speak too much. In other words, I want to get the hell out of there as quickly as possible. On the few occasions I’ve has such a strong opinion that I’ve spoken forcefully about it, I’ve been surprised at how many people shift to my view, and how quickly. No one would ever describe my personality as ‘compelling’. I guess I gain their attention because it is so rare for me to say anything, and most people prefer to follow someone who seems like he knows what he’s doing rather than to take the lead themselves. Makes sense from an evolutionary standpoint.
Kinda related: the philosophical reasons why the woke refuse to debate.
And on that climate change issue, the predicted drop in global population by 2100 is going to play yet more havoc on those pesky models.
Yeah, I link ZeroHedge from time to time. I’ll have a long post about why someday.
What else is going on?
Here is the interesting background to that white
frigidity fragility lady. Looks like member of the Twitocracy who entered the club by being lucky enough to coin a new woke phrase, just like the one who came up with the slogan, ‘Black Lives Matter’. Beats teaching brain-dead undergrads at a gum tree uni.
Speaking of uni, here’s a guest post at Captain Capitalism about how students can get along with their woke professors, written by the bespoke essay guy. It’s actually quite interesting, gets into why they can’t accept alternative views, the cliques within their caste, and so on.
I am not saying that this holds for all families, but in my own case I can see a clear mutation from my grandmother’s generation down to my own. Somehow my prosocial, civically engaged, optimistic and religious grandparents are only two generations removed from anti-social nihilists who practice a neurotic and frustrated hedonism and cannot be bothered to have children.
This is an account of what it is like to work as a white police officer in the US. If you have any wildly differing accounts, do link.
I can’t remember who to H/T for this one, but it’s a post blaming Tinder response data for radicalizing young men. The meaning of the term ‘radicalize’ seems to be shifting, hey.
More on data: girls like BLM much more than boys.
Zman has a take on modern economic events that elucidates something I’ve been thinking about:
Something that has been brought to the surface by the recent economic shutdown is that classical economics seems to have run out of answers. More precisely, we are seeing things today that classical and neoclassical economics said were not possible, at least not in the long term. All over the West, but particularly in the United States, we are seeing contradictions for which there are no explanations. It’s as if we have crossed into a new world that operates by different economic rules.
It was supposed to be impossible for debts to get so high because no lenders would be found, money printing should be causing inflation, etc. The West is starting to look like Japan, where extremely reckless economic management seems to have no consequence except the risk of deflation and an ever-present, moderate stagnation. Too early to say?
Zman also has a post about why we cannot wait for the Silent Majority to set the culture right as they did in the past – they are now the Silent Minority.
I have figured out that it is worth following German blogs because Google Translate does a good job between German and English, which are closely related languages. Here Luisman is talking about the forces that keep people from buying a home:
However you turn it around, you stand there like the proverbial freshly fucked squirrel. The situation came slowly and insidiously over us, since virtually all parties ensured that our taxes were increased again and again. The flexibility myth of the worker has also been created since the 1970s, so that you have to reckon with having to move 100+ km away just to get a job. The considerable ancillary costs of selling and buying a house would then erode all savings. So you keep renting.
The situation is somewhat different in Australia, where the main issue is that the massive influx of cashed-up migrants keeps property prices sky-high, but it’s always good to see what’s happening on the other side of the world.
Meanwhile in Japan, a woman was arrested for allegedly attempting to kill her husband with a crossbow and a knife. No mention of a claymore. He was asleep and she still managed to miss, geez.
Also in Japan, a Filipino man was arrested for allegedly killing a cow and stealing its head.